The Cornered Cat
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Holes in Paper

A surprising number of people honestly believe that they already know everything they need to know about self-defense once they have learned to yank a trigger at the range. This is emphatically not true! Self-defense is about being able to hit your target, but it’s not only about that. It’s not just about being able to punch a hole in a piece of paper on a quiet day at the range with your friends.

In our more rational moments, we all know this. That’s why it always gets a laugh when a new student says, “Well, if I ever get attacked by a piece of cardboard that gives me three minutes to aim and pull the trigger, I’m good!” The other students always laugh because they know that’s not true. They know there’s more to it than that.

Criminals aren’t like paper targets: they don’t stand still, they don’t move in predictable patterns, and they don’t play fair. They move quickly and erratically and do unexpected things.

Innocent bystanders aren’t like paper targets, either. You can’t simply patch one up with a piece of tape and a blushing excuse. It’s a little more serious than that when you shoot the wrong target in real life.

Being prepared to cope with violent crime means knowing how criminal events typically unfold. It means knowing what danger looks like so you can avoid it. It means understanding the dynamics of violence and how ordinary people sometimes do things that increase their risk of suffering the effects of violence. It means being able to read body language, especially the body language that precedes a violent assault.

Being prepared to cope with violent crime means being prepared to hit targets that move quickly, erratically, and unexpectedly. It means being aware of what’s going on behind the primary threat. It means being determined to shoot a living, breathing, moving human being if needed. It means having enough confidence in your skills that you can pull the trigger without any hesitation whatsoever, even if someone you love is standing right next to the bad guy. It means being so well-practiced at drawing the gun that you don’t fumble around with it when you go to get it out of the holster. It’s in your hand the moment you think you need it, just as a good driver finds the brake pedal under her foot when she wants to stop the car, without needing to consciously remember which pedal is the gas and which the brake.

Being prepared to cope with violent crime means knowing how to load your own gun. It means you’re able to get the gun ready to fire on your own, doing so quickly and smoothly even if your gun wasn’t in the condition you expected it to be in when you picked it up. It means understanding how your gun works so well that if something goes wrong when you pull the trigger, your hands can clear the malfunction without you needing to waste brain cells figuring out what happened or what to do about it. It means knowing how to shoot when you only have one hand available. It means being able to adjust your speed to the distance and time requirements of the shot you must make.

Being prepared to cope with violent crime means knowing means being able to make smart choices about when to use your gun or when to hold fire. It means being able to make smart choices about where to aim when you do decide to shoot – even if you can only see part of your attacker and even if your attacker isn’t coming from the angle you expect.

Being prepared to cope with violent crime means knowing how to use cover or concealment effectively, and how to get good hits from weird positions if you need to. It means knowing that you can hit your target even if your glasses get knocked off in a struggle, even if it’s dark out, even if you can’t see the sights well and you’re moving and the target is moving and you don’t have any time at all.

Being prepared to cope with violent crime means having a great deal of confidence in your abilities, and it means you have some skills that go beyond what you need for target shooting with friends at the range. It means you know what to say to arriving officers, and what not to say. It means you know the rules of the road for using your firearm in a legal manner. It means you have some understanding of what might happen after a violent encounter with a criminal.

All of this only lists a few of the skills needed for self-defense. It does not discuss any of the specialized knowledge you might need in order to avoid trouble in the first place, or any of the skills you might need within the lower categories of force other than deadly force. It does not address the legal aspects of using violence to protect yourself from violent crime. It does not even begin to touch the ethical, moral, and social dilemmas that accompany making such a decision. All of these are issues that any thinking person needs to confront when she decides to carry a lethal weapon to protect herself and the people she loves.

Being able to punch a hole in a piece of paper is easy. Learning to reliably defend yourself from violent crime? That takes more work. I’m always impressed with people who decide to do the hard work it takes to learn how to defend themselves effectively.

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New Article: Five Stages of Growth

Today I finally uploaded an article I’ve been mulling over for some time. “Understanding Your Students: Five Stages of Growth” tackles some thorny questions about confidence, competence, and doubt.

Quick preview here. The five stages are

  1. I won’t.
  2. I will.
  3. I can’t.
  4. I can.
  5. I will.

Most people interested in learning about self-defense land clearly within one of these stages, or find themselves on the cusp between one stage and the next. Where are you, as a learner? Have you seen these stages in your own students? Where do you excel at helping people grow to the next stage? Where have you stumbled?

If you work as a teacher or enjoy being a learner within the self-defense community (even if you aren’t a firearms instructor or student), I would love to hear your feedback about this one.

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It’s a Good Thing

As I’ve explained before, I have always had a gut-level conviction that if a thing is not shameful to do in the first place, there is no shame in doing it competently. A job worth doing is worth doing well, as they say. It’s even biblical: “Whatsoever your hand finds to do, do it with all your might.”

All of this is important because there’s an undertow on the good-people side of the self defense world, where okay, yeah, we believe we can act to save our own lives if we need to do that. But we’re ashamed of saying so, straight up. Perhaps deep down, we believe we should save our lives poorly, badly, without any kind of preparation. Maybe we even find it a little suspect if someone studies ways to avoid criminal violence. Too many true-crime books on the shelves, we think, maybe it means someone secretly has criminal tendencies at heart…? But does this make sense? Is it really more moral to stay ignorant about how crime works, and to avoid learning how to protect good people from the deadly behavior of bad ones?

Speaking of morality, there’s this. The reason so many self-defense people believe it’s okay to shoot an attacker, after you add up the cold equations and come to the inevitable conclusion that someone is about to die, isn’t because we have flexible moral compasses. Nor do we study criminal violence because we secretly feel fascinated by evil. Not at all! The reason we accept using deadly force to defend the innocent is because we believe it’s actively good to save innocent lives, including your own. The reason we study past criminal events and try to understand how they happened is because we want to know how to save the lives of innocent people during future criminal events. The reason we learn the physical skills of self-defense is because we want to protect the lives of people we love. The key for each of these things is in the goal: saving innocent life.

Yes, using a firearm to save an innocent life might result in the death of an attacker. But that’s not our primary choice, and it’s not the goal. When you use a firearm in appropriate circumstances, you face an attacker who has already made the most important decision of all. That person made the decision that someone is going to die or be seriously injured today. Given the time you have and the situation you face, you cannot change that person’s decision or undo it. The choice that death will happen has already been made, and not by you. That means there’s only one choice left for you to make: whether or not you will save the life of an innocent person, a person who would surely die or be permanently maimed if you failed to act.

Making the decision to save an innocent life is not a sin. It’s not a crime. It’s not an evil. It’s an active bit of good you can do in the world, saving an innocent life. And if the job of saving an innocent life is a good thing that may need to be done, it’s not wrong to learn how to do that. It’s not evil to prepare to save an innocent life as well and as safely as you can. It’s not bad to study how to save lives efficiently and competently. It’s not a sin to save a life whole-heartedly, with everything you’ve got. Those are actually all good things.

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Sweet Potatoes

Never forget what you are, for surely the world will not. Make it your strength. Then it can never be your weakness. Armour yourself in it, and it will never be used to hurt you. – George R.R. Martin

From time to time, people ask me what my credentials are to teach the things I teach. Sometimes it’s just idle curiosity, or a getting-to-know-you question. Sometimes it’s more challenging than that. My current favorite was a man who started the conversation with, “So what makes you think you can teach me anything?”

So much potential snark, so little time.

Still, it’s a valid question. It’s one you should ask every firearms trainer. How do they see their own qualifications? What’s their background? Have they had just one short class that gave them a teaching certificate? Have they done more than that? Has all their information come from one source, or have they learned from multiple sources? Have they studied, have they worked, have they learned? Who taught them the material they’re passing along to others? Who are their role models? What kind of experiences have they had that they believe will apply to this discipline? These questions provide you with an excellent opportunity to assess your potential instructor’s background.

As you read my comments below, please notice the complete lack of the word “just” in any of my self-descriptions. That’s one of the subtle ways a lot of women tear themselves down, by telling people they are “just” this or “just” that or “just” some amazing other thing. And it’s nonsense. We are what we are. We bring to the table whatever we bring to the table. Not one of us is the same as any other of us, and that’s okay. It is far better to be honestly what you are, than it is to fluff and puff and bluster your way through this minefield.

So let me tell you honestly what I am, and what I am not. (Like Popeye of an earlier era, I yam what I yam … and now you know the origin of the post title, too.)

Here’s what I am not: I am not a law enforcement officer, nor do I claim a “law enforcement background” on sketchy credentials. I am not a former member of the armed forces, nor do I claim to be one. I have rarely shot competitions, and never seriously. The things I don’t know fill more than just one book. They fill most of the shelves at my local library, and an amazing number of articles I stumble over while wiki-wandering in search of something else I want to know. I’m not a beauty queen and I’ll never attract the happy hordes of guys who just want to see beautiful women shoot guns while wearing skin-tight clothing. I am not a YouTube personality and I don’t make money based on how outrageously I behave on the internet. I can’t tell you a darn thing about running a SWAT team, about being an MMA fighter, about working as a bodyguard or a contractor or a bouncer or a prison guard, about organizing a military engagement or running a convoy through unfriendly territory.  All of those can be good things, or bad things, or just things that are — but none of them are my things.

And here’s what I am: I am an ordinary, middle-aged woman who has successfully completed hundreds of hours of professional-level handgun training. I have a large handful of advanced training certificates, including several that say I’m an instructor. I have over a decade of industry experience, a wickedly obsessive learning habit, and a burning drive to help other ordinary people learn how to fit self-defense ideas into an ordinary, mundane lifestyle.

Through the time I spent raising my five very active, very normal boys to healthy young adulthood, I can tell you some stuff about living in a busy household full of kids while armed. And maybe a few things about how to turn a child’s normal, healthy childish curiousity away from handling firearms when you’re not there.

Five of my credentials.

Five of my credentials.

From doing a crazy insane amount of reading and studying and thinking and playing and learning from others, I can tell you some reasonable ways to fit a solid self-defense mindset into an ordinary lifestyle without driving yourself to the same level of crazy. Because I know that not everyone wants to, or needs to, dive as deeply into this pool as I have done.

After carrying a gun almost every day for the past 14 years — as a part of an ordinary lifestyle, not as part of a job with a uniform — I can teach you some surprising tricks that will help you keep the gun with you for the time you need it, if that’s what you want to do.

While building the Cornered Cat website and keeping it active for nearly a decade, and after working more than four years as the editor of Concealed Carry Magazine before I stepped down to build my own training business to a higher level, I have had many wonderful, ongoing opportunities to get my hands on some amazing holsters and other gear. I have handled many new products during the development phase and have cheered on several small companies who later became big successes with their excellent products. I have also refused to write reviews, or to tell students about, anything that I have not handled for myself for an extended period of time. That insistence on handling the products myself, and on really giving them a complete workout under real world conditions, means I can tell you a few things about how to choose a functional, high-quality holster and carry method that’s right for you.

From taking hundreds of hours of professional firearms classes and self-defense classes from multiple schools, and through studying defensive skills under many different instructors, it’s safe to say that I have a solid grasp on the state of the training industry right now. I can tell you a few things that I’ve seen change and evolve over the past 14 years. From long and fascinating study, I can tell you something about the contexts where many shooting techniques and familiar self-defense axioms got started many years ago, and how those techniques have changed over the years to reflect increased understanding of crime, different social and legal rules, or changes in available equipment.

As a lifelong autodidact with a deep fascination for what makes people tick, I can tell you a few things about violent crime and how it happens. I can tell you some ways to spot a developing criminal crisis before it’s too late, some ways to understand how criminals think, some ways to tell if you are the intended target for an act of violence. I can tell you about how people respond to stress and danger, including both physical and physiological responses to fear. I can explain what some of the most recent studies have found about strategies for surviving violent encounters and their aftermath, including legal, psychological, emotional, and social survival skills.

By spending more than a decade first learning, and then playing with, advanced handgun retention skills with highly qualified and talented friends, I can show you a little bit about how to fit those skills into your self-defense plans. After repeatedly taking a basic handgun retention skill set to experienced people — the kind of people who use similar skills on a daily basis — learning from them, and then analyzing how their needs compare to (or contrast with) the needs of ordinary citizens, I can teach you something about the basics of protecting your firearm from someone who would grab it away from you.

Because I have invested more than ten years of my life working as an instructor at one of the busiest professional firearms training schools in the country, I can teach you a few things about how to shoot quickly and effectively. I can teach you how to use your firearm in ways that are optimized for self-defense — and not just on a static square range, either. I can effectively teach you how to shoot in the dark, on moving targets, while you are moving. I can show you how to keep your firearm running when you need it, including how to reload and how to clear unexpected malfunctions. I can teach you to hit small targets at distance (such as you might need to do in a mall shooting) and how to quickly hit a target that’s very close (such as you might need to do when attacked in a parking lot). I can teach you how and why to use cover and concealment, and I can teach you how to shoot from downed positions. And — of course! — I can teach you how to draw quickly, safely, and effectively from any carry method you care to use.

After working with thousands of students over the past ten years, I can tell you a few things about what works and does not work in front of a class as an instructor. I can tell you how to put your own material into a working outline, and how to tell when your class schedule is well-ordered. I can teach you how to diagnose some common shooting difficulties and teach your students how to overcome those challenges. I can give you some solid ideas about how to effectively pass your own skills along to others.

As a woman who has spent a decade and a half inside this male-dominated industry, and who has extensively studied how gendered groups respond to various teaching methods, I can tell you a little bit about teaching women how to defend themselves with firearms: what works well and reliably, what doesn’t work well or doesn’t work reliably, and why minor shifts in teaching techniques can make a big difference for your students.

For some people, none of that is enough. It will never be enough. They want the person who teaches them how to use a defensive firearm to be a warrior, a meat-eater, a badass, and … well, a guy. Or at least a woman who wants to be a guy. Someone who has been “in the sandbox” or who has “seen the elephant” or who has done whatever this year’s buzz phrase happens to be. Someone who bench presses three times their own body weight and brags about it on the internet. I’m not that person, and never will be. And that’s okay. Because there are already plenty of people out there trying to be that, and the people who want to learn from that person can find that person everywhere.

But if you want a thoughtful, well-trained woman who can help you bring defensive handgun skills into an ordinary lifestyle without driving yourself crazy — I’m your gal.

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Someone Else’s Problem

“An SEP,” he said, “is something that we can’t see, or don’t see, or our brain doesn’t let us see, because we think that it’s somebody else’s problem. That’s what SEP means. Somebody Else’s Problem. The brain just edits it out, it’s like a blind spot.” – Douglas Adams

 Talking with a friend of mine who lives in Washington DC, I was struck by how fervently some folks cling to their preconceptions about how safe their personal world really is. My friend told me, “Washington is really a safe city. The police are everywhere, you see them all the time. Whenever something happens, they swarm the area and lock everything down. It’s really a very safe place to live.”

Here’s a confession: I’m a little bit of a coward in personal interactions these days. I didn’t want to hurt my friend’s feelings, or make him feel unsafe where he lived. So I didn’t say anything much in response to his statement. But do you know the truth about crime rates in the District of Columbia? Like everywhere else in the country, DC has experienced a falling rate of crime over the past decade or so. That’s good, and it’s a real success story. But the rate of violent crime in our nation’s capitol city is still more than three times the national average. Three times!

Hard numbers? Sure. In Washington DC, the violent crime rate in 2010 was 1,330.2 per 100,000  in population. That compares to a national average in the same year of 403.6 per 100,000. The murder rate in DC that year was 21.9, compared to a national average of 4.8. While the numbers inside the Disctrict have continued to fall sharply, down from a 1980s peak, the rate of violent crime in that city continues to fly far above the national average. If each person’s lifetime risk was exactly the same (it’s not, for a number of reasons, but if it were), the chance of a resident of DC becoming the victim of some type of violent crime over a lifetime would approach 100% certainty. That’s how high the crime rates are inside the Disctrict – an area where my friend feels safe because he sees a lot of police activity.

Sometimes, on hearing numbers like this, we’re tempted to think it’s not so bad. It couldn’t possibly be … could it? After all, most crimes are little things like someone smashing a window to steal a briefcase off the front seat of a car, right? Nope. These numbes reflect the violent crime rates, which include murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. (Oh, and don’t discount “aggravated assault” as a minor thing. It basically means someone tried hard to kill another person, and almost succeeded.)  The rates of non-violent crimes and property crimes are much higher. Despite the wonderful successes of recent years, crime continues to be a serious problem.

And yet, my friend still believes that he lives in a safe place.

Do you know the crime rates for the city where you live?

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Training Rant

Education, training, and practice all work together to increase your personal safety. As you build your skills within those three major learning spheres, you also develop a solid mindset. Leaving out one of these three major legs of learning is like trying to set your rear end on a three-legged stool with one leg missing. Yeah, you can do it… but you’re likely to dump yourself on the ground. Three-legged stools work best when all three legs are there to provide support.

Three-legged stoolYou’re reading this blog, so I reasonably believe you’re already on board with the idea of getting some education about how to use a handgun for self defense. But education, by itself, can’t teach you how to perform a physical skill — and shooting is, first and foremost, a physical skill. You wouldn’t expect to learn how to waterski by reading a book. Nor should you expect to learn how to shoot well, just from reading. At some point, you have to go hands on, with training and with practice. So let’s talk about those other two legs, training and practice.

Training and practice go together — in that order!

Practice is necessary, but when you practice without training first, you will often practice the wrong things. You will also often fail to practice some of the right things.

Some people skip over the idea of learning from others. They don’t take a class. Instead, they head straight into practice, ignoring the idea of getting personal training. Life is tough for these people, though they often don’t realize it. They see that they “can” learn to shoot by themselves. Unfortunately, these people usually do not understand how much time and how many resources they are wasting by doing this. They don’t see how much more money they will have to spend on ammunition in the future, unlearning deeply ingrained bad habits, such as how they use the trigger. When they start down that road, they don’t usually foresee just how hard they will have to work to undo lazy or inefficient habits they build along the way — habits they have diligently built by going to the range to practice when they have not first learned what they should practice.

Other people invest a lot of money in training, but rarely practice. These people are also making it very tough on themselves. Like the practicers who don’t train, people who train but don’t practice rarely see how much they are giving up. They don’t realize that the entire purpose of the training class is to show you what you need to practice. They don’t know that, without ongoing practice, they are effectively throwing away the costs of the class (which can be substantial). That’s because, within the context of a one-, two-, or four-day class, there simply isn’t enough time to fully ingrain new, good habits. Good training teaches you what to practice on your own and why. It reaches its full value only when students follow up with regular, dedicated practice that centers on the efficient ways to do things.

So you need both training and practice. But people make excuses to avoid both those things. No time, no money…

Money is an issue for a lot of people. Yes, training can be expensive. But ignorance is far more expensive, and often tragic. I say this as a woman who raised five children on almost nothing, during years when we were so broke we would have had to save up to be called “poor.” We weren’t quite broke enough to eat boiled dishrag soup, but scraped icebox was indeed on the menu. My husband and I deliberately chose to rear our own homeschooled and home-grown children, and that means we lived entirely on his salary … which was always less than $35k a year, sometimes a lot less. We have been broke and even more broke than that, but we have never taken government assistance nor asked anyone else to help us feed our children.

ed-tr-prWhen I decided to arm myself against a dangerous world, I had to find ways to buy ammunition out of that too-tight grocery budget. A friend of ours bought me my first training class (and bless him for it!) At that time, I discovered that simply owning the firearm was really not enough if I wanted to be able to stay safe and keep my family safe. The gun, by itself, doesn’t do anything. It needs someone behind it who knows what she’s doing.

It would have been very easy to say, “Well, taking that first class was all I could do, and more than most ever do anyway,” and to quit learning right there. But that class really showed me that I needed to learn more if I wanted to be well-prepared to protect myself and my little boys.

So I worked my tail off to keep learning more: I scrounged brass, worked out three-cornered barter deals, worked weekend jobs while my husband was home, traded babysitting hours with friends so the kids would be taken care of while I was at school, borrowed books, shamelessly used every friend who knew more than I did. Eventually I’d learned enough that the three-cornered barter deals turned into straight barter deals: “We’ll let you take the next class if you’ll work on the line for this last class.” It took a very long time to reach that point and it only happened because I was bound and determined to make it happen.

Now when people hear that I believe training is an important part of owning a gun for self-defense, sometimes they get a little defensive themselves. They say stuff to me like, “Well, that just means you’re rich! You could just throw money away on classes like that! Not everyone can afford…” Or they tell me I must believe owning guns is for rich people, for those who can take the time and spend the money to study how to defend themselves. They tell me that regular people can’t afford it and that anyone who says people really need to learn defensive handgun skills within the context of a class is either an elitist or a snob.

That really hurts, because it’s not true. From firsthand experience, I know how hard it is to scrounge enough money to take a professional training class. I know what a challenge it is to find someone to watch your children for the weekend. I know the emotional roller coaster that goes with making the “selfish” decision to spend family resources on your own personal development — never mind that your “selfish” decision to be well-prepared to protect the people you love is actually the least selfish choice you could possibly make. These things I have learned through my own experience and I am no more immune to those pressures than any other woman in this world.

And I still say it’s important, even vital. Everything I know about using handguns in self-defense, everything I’ve learned about how to protect my family, everything I’ve studied and practiced … I worked for that. It did not drop down on top of me out of the clear blue sky, like “She’s just really talented.” Oh, no! For every skill I have learned, for every class I took, I sweated hours in the hot sun or shivered in the freezing rain on a weekend construction site. Or I humiliated myself grabbing other people’s garbage to recycle. Or I left my children with someone else’s mom so I could work a mind-numbing, boring seasonal job tagging Christmas trees. Learning how to defend myself and my family was a high priority for me and I acted like it.

Most of the people who complain that training is too expensive, and won’t take even a basic class because of  how much it costs, actually have far more resources than I and my family ever did.

When I say to you that people need training, and the more training they get the safer and better off they are — I believe that, with all my heart. I have put my sweat and sometimes my tears into that belief. I believe so strongly that good training can save lives that I’ve poured the last ten years of my life into helping others get that training too.

If you have the means to get training — and nearly everyone in America does, one way or the other — but you don’t do it, you’re being very foolish and short sighted. Firearms don’t protect you by themselves. They aren’t magic. They don’t defend your family for you. They cannot be effectively used without skill, and skill only comes to those who work for it.

Bottom line: This is why I hold a profound degree of respect for my students, and for students of other schools who have worked to learn what they need to know. Their knowledge and skill doesn’t magically drop down on them from the sky. It doesn’t come to them without cost. Hats off in respect for the work these good citizens have done and continue to do in learning how to protect themselves and the people they love.

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Temperature Control

M: I used to be afraid, until I got sick and tired of it. Then I got pissed.

KJ: Oh, pissed is just another version of powerless. Flip side of fear.

M: Defenestration says different.

KJ: No, it doesn’t. You can throw the guy out the window, but you haven’t won if he’s still in your head.

M: Uhhh out of sight out of mind?

KJ: Well, when he hits the pavement head first, he can exclaim, “Nothing like this ever entered my mind before!”   But — still. If he’s still in your head, it doesn’t matter if he’s still breathing or not. He still has power that you don’t have.

There are self-defense instructors who tell people to get angry when it’s time to defend yourself. I sympathize and fully understand what these folks are trying to do. More than that, I think it is right to get angry sometimes. When someone behaves offensively toward you, be offended! Own your personal space. Own your body. Own your personal dignity and your freedom. All that. If you need to feel a white-hot, burning anger to work up toward defending yourself, go ahead and feel it. It’s your life, and your body, and your family who will mourn your death. Own that! Be angry that someone would dare to try to take that away from you!

And yet… in a lot of ways, burning anger isn’t as useful or as reliable as cold mathematics: “This person is trying to kill me. I will try to kill them right back, because I do not intend to die today.” That’s a valid response, too, and can be just as powerful. Or more. Better still, it does not give your assailant free rental space inside your own head. With good tools, good training, and confidence based in reality, you can do what you need to do without turning on the heat.

People working from a strong position don’t need to get angry. They might choose to go hot, to get angry, to use that anger as a tool — but they might just as well choose to go cold, to stay frosty, to put a touch of ice into their responses. And that’s good, too.

Stay safe.

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The Road Not Taken

They say hindsight is 20/20. When you look behind you, you can always see clearly what you should have done, how you should have acted, what you should have said. Hindsight always whispers, “Well, if only you had done x, then z would have happened.”

Hindsight is a liar. You can’t see an unchosen future any better in retrospect than you could see it the first time around.

Let me try that again: We have this idea that from the future, you can know what would have happened if… We call this idea “hindsight.” And it is a bitter, stupid lie. Why? Because looking back tells you exactly what did happen in the past, on the road you did take, and that’s all it tells you. You know exactly how the world looks from the path you did choose. So maybe you want to go back for a do-over. Looking back, you think you know exactly where you went wrong. You think you know where that other road – the one you did not take – would have led.

Wanna bet?

Even knowing how your previous choices turned out, you still don’t know how any other choices would have worked. You never get to see what was down that other path, because you didn’t walk down it to find out. Looking back from your lofty perch in next week, you still don’t know what would have happened if you’d taken that road less traveled. You only know what happened on the road you actually took. No matter blatantly wrong (or gloriously right!) your old choices seem when you look back at them, your deceptively clear hindsight absolutely never, ever tells you what would have happened if you had made other choices. It only tells you what actually did happen. Nothing more.

Okay, let’s bring this back to my world – the world of self defense. I need to beg your indulgence and forgiveness for something I have done in the past, something I vow here to never to do again. From this date forward, I will do my best never to second guess a survivor. “Well, if you’d only (said this, done that, moved this way or asserted yourself in that way)…”

That’s an expert’s lie. It’s a trap I’ve fallen into in the past, to my shame. Because it is a lie. It presupposes that the expert can somehow see down an untaken road into a future that never happened. But she can’t see down that road any more than you could, either in the past or today. An expert does have some specialized knowledge, but she can’t see into the future, not even an unchosen future.

The best the honest expert can do is point out statistics and trends, possibilities and probabilities. She can tell you how someone’s behavior fit inside known paradigms for criminal victimization, or avoided those paradigms. She can explain how to reduce your odds of being attacked and she can teach you how to improve your odds of survival if you are attacked.

She can offer no guarantees. Because life does not come with those.

And she can never – with any degree of integrity whatsoever – say she knows how the story would have ended if only one of the participants had done something the participant didn’t do at the time.

Holding onto your integrity as an expert means you can’t pretend to know more than you do. Fortune-telling and soothsaying take no integrity. Just unjustified, overdone confidence reaching to arrogance.

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